Advanced Price Movement Predictor (APMP) is an MT4 and MT5 indicator that estimates the most likely short-term price movement based on advanced mathematical calculations.
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Introduction
Most of the classic indicators that make up the common trading strategies are based on simple math, not because when these indicators were created there were no outstanding mathematicians, but because computers did not exist or they simply had a low processing power to perform complex mathematical operations consistently. Nowadays, any smartphone overwhelmingly surpasses the most powerful computer of just a few decades ago.
The Advanced Price Movement Predictor (APMP) indicator takes advantage of current processing capacity to capture the essence of price swings through advanced mathematical, statistical and probabilistic concepts.
APMP does not provide a prediction itself, since the price movement is a non-stationary stochastic process and therefore it is not predictable. However, it makes a dynamic estimation of the immediate price movement.
Based on the same analysis, APMP displays the current real trend of the market. So far the trend is almost always obtained from classic indicators like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands or Parabolic SAR, or by manually drawing a line (or two parallel lines) between two or more significant points. Those methods are still valid. APMP adds a different calculation that you can use to strengthen your current trading method, or to confirm the levels and trend you already work with.
How to Use It
The use of APMP is not different from how you regularly use trends, and support and resistance levels. The difference is in the way those values are calculated by this indicator.
For trading strategies based on the trend, traders buy in areas near the support levels while the trend is up, and sell in areas close to the resistance levels while the trend is down.
For trading strategies based on trend corrections (counter trend), traders buy in areas near the support levels while the trend is down, and sell in areas near the resistance levels while the trend is up.
Significant levels can act either as supports or resistances, so pay special attention to the price behavior whenever it is close to those levels.
The Stop Loss could be placed at a distance from the open price equal to the separation between the support and the resistance levels, and the Take Profit at twice that separation. A Trailing Stop can move the Stop Loss when the support and resistance levels move in favor of the position.
This is only a basic suggestion: APMP provides enough information to build a variety of trading strategies or to refine existing ones.
How It Works
APMP shows the following information:
- Support and resistance levels closest to the market price, on the chart’s timeframe and on every higher one.
- The real trend and the most probable short-term price movement, on the chart’s timeframe and on every higher one.
- Alerts when congestion zones appear (areas where 2 or more levels coincide), when the price crosses any of the important levels, and when the trend of any timeframe shown changes (for example “H1: trend from UP to DOWN”).
Every alert is written on the panel’s message lines and on the Experts tab for later reference. You can also have it shown in a dialog box, played as a sound, sent as a push notification and, for level crossings and trend changes, sent by email.
Information Panel
The information panel is a small window: drag it by its title bar to any place on the chart, or minimize it with the button in its corner. The levels and alerts keep working while it is minimized.
Note:
APMP needs 193 bars of history on every timeframe it shows. When a symbol is opened for the first time, the terminal downloads that history in the background; until it arrives, that timeframe’s box on the panel stays gray and its levels are not drawn. They appear automatically, usually within seconds. On symbols with a short history, the monthly timeframe may stay gray because fewer than 193 months exist.
What do you get with APMP?
- Short-term estimate: The most likely immediate price movement, on every timeframe shown.
- Market snapshot: Current real market trend.
- Exposed key zones: Support & resistance levels.
- Light on resources: Lines and panel are only updated when a value changes.
- Self-adjusting: Works on any symbol and any timeframe, with no parameters to tune.
- MT4 & MT5 friendly: Fits any MetaTrader platform.
- Alerts: Congestion zones, level crossings and trend changes.
- Collaborative: Works alongside other indicators, EAs and scripts on the same chart.
Watch APMP Pro in action
Advanced Price Movement Predictor (APMP) for MetaTrader [Video] (opens in a new tab)
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